Tuesday, November 29, 2022
HomeSportsTennisThe way to guess Candy 16 March Insanity 2022

The way to guess Candy 16 March Insanity 2022

The Texas Tech-Duke Candy 16 recreation on Thursday might be a matchup between KenPom’s top-ranked staff in adjusted defensive effectivity and third-ranked staff in adjusted offensive effectivity. When individuals speak about power vs. power, that is the kind of recreation they’re speaking about.

Thus far within the match, these strengths have but to let both staff down. Texas Tech has allowed a median of simply 57.5 factors on lower than 40% capturing via two video games. Duke has averaged 81.5 factors on higher than 50% capturing in its two video games.

One thing has to present.

No. 2 Duke vs. No. 3 Texas Tech

Unfold: Texas Tech -1.5 (-102)

Moneyline: Duke (-105), Texas Tech (-115)

Level Whole: 137.5

(Odds by way of Tipico as of three/23/22)

The lower-seeded Texas Tech is favored over Duke by 1.5 factors, and that’s possible as a result of good protection is less complicated to belief than good offense. Effort and want on the defensive facet of the ball don’t go chilly the way in which capturing can for even the perfect scoring groups — particularly in opposition to a staff that can make it harder, like Texas Tech. For that purpose, I’m selecting the Pink Raiders to win and canopy in what quantities to a decide ’em. However there’s extra to it.

Texas Tech’s gamers have a full yr of common expertise over Duke’s forged of largely freshmen and sophomores main the way in which. Three of the Blue Devils’ prime 5 scorers are freshmen, together with main scorer Paolo Banchero. The 2 exceptions are junior Wendell Moore and sophomore Mark Williams, and Moore is the one upperclassmen who performs vital minutes.

Duke’s guys are extremely gifted, as mirrored by a lot of their NBA draft shares. However the deeper we get into the match, the extra I belief upperclassmen to stay poised in large spots and higher impose their wills. Texas Tech’s rotation is filled with nothing however seniors, with a pair juniors sprinkled in. And whereas they don’t put the ball within the cup on the similar fee as Duke or shoot the 3-pointer effectively, they don’t precisely have a tough time scoring. Texas Tech ranks thirty fourth within the nation in discipline aim share, led by the duo of Bryson Williams and Kevin Obanor.

Nonetheless, whereas I anticipate Texas Tech to maintain Duke underneath the 80 factors it averages on the season, I nonetheless suppose these groups do sufficient collectively to push the overall over 137.5 factors. Solely two of the 4 video games these groups have collectively performed within the match went over their level totals, however three of them eclipsed this quantity.

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